Friday, June 29, 2007
There has been a lot of rumors floating around about McNabb returning to his home town Chicago Bears this off-season. The remarks by Tommie Harris further fueled the story. It’s all talk, but the bottom line is would you make a straight-up trade? I wouldn't.
McNabb is a very good NFL QB. His numbers are great, but he will turn 31 during the season, he is coming off a serious injury and has had two back-to-back seasons cut short by injury. On top of that, he has been to as many Super Bowls as Rex.
Rex is just starting to emerge. He was inconsistent last year, but showed that he can put up some big numbers. He will turn 27 this year and is just coming off his first season as the full-time starter.
McNabb was booed by the Philly fans when he was first drafted in 1999. After a rocky 1999 season, he took over as the full time starter in 2000. Philly finished 11-5 and made the playoffs as a Wildcard Team. He threw 21 TDs and 13 interceptions. The Philly D was great that year (ranked #4, gave up 15.3 points/game). McNabb won his first playoff game against Tampa, before losing in the divisional playoffs to the Giants. His stats in that game: 20-41 (48.8%) for 181 yards, 1 TD, 1 Int, 59.1 QB rating.
In 2001, Philly won the NFC East and again finished 11-5. He threw 25 TDs and 12 interceptions. The Philly D was again great that year (ranked #2, gave up 13 points/game). McNabb won in the wildcard and divisional playoff rounds. In the NFC Championship game he lost at home to St. Louis. His stats in that game: 18-30 (60%) for 171 yards, 1 TD, 1 Int, 73.1 QB rating.
In 2002, Philly won the NFC East and had home field in the NFC playoffs with their 12-4 record. He missed 6 games due to injury, but still threw 17 TDs and 6 interceptions. The Philly D was great that year again (ranked #2, gave up 15.1 points/game). McNabb won in the divisional round. In the NFC Championship game he lost at home again, this time to Tampa. His stats in that game: 26-49 (53.1%) for 243 yards, 0 TD, 1 Int, 58.5 QB rating.
In 2003, Philly won the NFC East and again had home field in the NFC playoffs with their 12-4 record. McNabb threw 16 TDs and 11 interceptions. The Philly D dipped but was still solid (ranked #7, gave up 17.9 points/game). McNabb won in the divisional round. In the NFC Championship game he lost at home again, this time to Carolina. His stats in that game: 10-22 (45.5%) for 100 yards, 0 TD, 3 Int, 19.3 QB rating.
After 3 straight home losses in the NFC Championship game, 2004 was the year that Philly finally broke through. Thanks to TO, McNabb had his best year as a pro. The Eagles torched the NFC East and again had home field in the NFC playoffs with their 13-3 record. McNabb threw 31 TDs and 8 interceptions. The Philly D was great again (ranked #3, gave up 16.3 points/game). McNabb got through the NFC playoffs but lost to New England. His stats in that game: 30-51 (58.8%) for 357 yards, 3 TD, 3 Int, 75.4 QB rating.
McNabb got hurt in 2005 and 2006 and missed the end of both seasons.
Rex’s first year as the starter ended with a trip to the Super Bowl. The Bears D was ranked #3 and gave up 15.9 points/game. His numbers in the Super Bowl: 20-28 (71.4%) for 165 yards, 1 TD, 2 Int, 68.3 QB rating.
Bears fans need to just be patient, the numbers do not support any need to change to McNabb.
Thursday, June 28, 2007
I forgot to post this up, but Rex won the NFL's Ed Block Courage Award. Quoting from the link:
"The prestigious award is presented to one player on all 32 NFL teams who best exemplifies a commitment to sportsmanship and courage and serves as an inspiration in the locker room.
The recipients of the honor symbolize professionalism, great strength and dedication, and are considered community role models."The NFL recognizes Rex is a solid citizen and a very good player.
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
TO's stats last year: 85 receptions for 1180 yards and 13 TDs (led the NFL in TD receptions)
He clearly helped Dallas make the playoffs.
Dallas took a chance on TO, but at least Dallas knew that they were paying a player who had proven himself on the field. In 7 games in 2005, TO had 47 receptions for 763 yards and 6 TDs. In 2004, 77 receptions for 1200 yards and 14 TDs
Now let's compare that to what the Redskins actually did to shore up their weak receiving corps. Instead of getting TO as an unrestricted free agent, the Redskins traded their #3 in 2006 and their #4 in 2007 for Brandon Lloyd - who by the way is as much of a head case as TO. It was well known that he was a problem player with an attitude in San Francisco, and he did not have the resume of TO.
To make matters worse, the Redskins tore up Lloyd's perfectly good NFL contract and gave him a brand spanking new 7 year, $29M contract with $11.5M guaranteed. They based his value on his "outstanding" 2005 season when he had 48 receptions for 733 yards and 5 TDs. For all the money that they paid this stiff, they got the same B.S. antics that he pulled in San Francisco, and he only produced 23 receptions for 365 yards and 0 TDs
I suppose one could argue that Antwaan Randle El was also brought in, and his stats should be considered. They signed him to a 7 year, $31.25M contract with $11.5 guaranteed. His Redskin production: 32 receptions for 351 yards and 3 TDs. Antwaan earned his big new contract based on his "greatness" in Pittsburgh in 2005 where he had 35 receptions for 558 yards and 1 TD.
Last year, Lloyd and Randle El combined for 55 receptions for 716 yards and 1 TD. Not quite TO numbers.
No reason to really revisit the whole "TO is a bad guy" stuff. The Redskins didn't care about bad guys with attitude problems. They signed Lloyd.
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Jim McMahon, Mike Tomczak, Steve Fuller, Doug Flutie, Jim Harbaugh, Peter Tom Willis, Will Furrer, Erik Kramer, Steve Walsh, Dave Kreig, Rick Mirer, Steve Stenstrom, Moses Moreno, Shane Matthews, Cade McNown, Jim Miller, Chris Chandler, Henry Burris, Kordell Stewart, Jonathan Quinn, Craig Krenzel, Chad Hutchinson, Kyle Orton, Rex Grossman
Chicago has a chance to finally have a franchise QB that could provide stability for a decade. But, someone who regularly posts here, believes the Bears should move on to number 25, Brian Griese. Never mind that Griese couldn't stick in Denver, Miami, or Tampa Bay before joining the Bears.
Look, I like Griese and think he is a capable backup, but he has proven he is not a franchise QB.
I did not want him for the Bears, but looking at my quotes in context, it seems clear to me that I wanted to jab the Redskins. Danny Boy loves to make a splash w/players. That said, TO certainly helped Philly make the Super Bowl and helped Dallas make the playoffs last year.
This is the link for when I said the Redskins should sign TO.
This is the link for what I thought about TO's value to a team.
This is the link when TO signed w/the Cowboys.
I don't like the Redskins, but I certainly think they could have benefitted from TO's services. There is nothing unreasonable in what I wrote.
Bushie says we don't torture, but that is only if you accept his "definition" of torture. Kids know what is going on, no matter what Bushie says. It is embarrassing.
The EPA and OSHA provided misleading information to New Yorkers about the safety of their homes and the air at Ground Zero in an effort to rebuild economic confidence. Former EPA Administrator Christine Todd Whitman testified and answered questions yesterday about her role in the debacle which has now resulted in 70 percent of a sample of Ground Zero cleanup workers and New Yorkers who live close to Ground Zero now have respiratory problems. The asbestos-laden dust is likely to end with hundreds if not thousands of lung cancer deaths.
It is a huge event that most Americans will not recognize for its importance. However, this may be the moment that truly changes the President's failure in Iraq. Other Republicans may decide to join him in pushing for an end to the operational disaster.
Monday, June 25, 2007
Terms were not announced, but I am sure they did not pay him Clement money. It is quite likely that Vasher took less from the Bears than he would have gotten on the open market. Another great front office move.
Today's comparison - Matt Hasselbeck (lost SB), Donovan McNabb (lost SB)
73.9 passer rating, 262-480 (54.6%), 3193 yards, 23 TDs, 20 ints, sacked 21 times, 5 lost fumbles.
Got to the Super Bowl at age 26, fourth year in NFL, first year as the starter.
Super Bowl Numbers: 20-28 (71.4%) for 165 yards, 1 TD, 2 Int, 68.3 QB rating.
70.9 passer rating, 176-321 (54.8%), 2023 yards, 7 TDs, 8 ints, sacked 38 times, 2 lost fumbles
Got to the Super Bowl at age 30, seventh year in NFL, fifth year as the starter.
Super Bowl Numbers: 26-49 (53.1%) for 273 yards, 1 TD, 1 Int, 67.8 QB rating.
77.8 passer rating, 330-569 (58%), 3365 yards, 21 TDs, 13 ints, sacked 45 times, 4 lost fumbles.
Got to the Super Bowl at age 28, sixth year in NFL, fifth year as the starter.
Super Bowl Numbers: 30-51 (58.8%) for 357 yards, 3 TD, 3 Int, 75.4 QB rating.
Looking over the numbers, it is clear that Rex's numbers were better than Hasselbeck, but McNabb had better overall numbers in his first year as the starter. Rex was the youngest of the three to make the Super Bowl and he did it in his first year as the starter - it took both Hasselbeck and McNabb a number of years to get there. When they did get there, none of the three had stellar numbers.
I suspect that he was drunk. It is a privilege to play for the Chicago Bears and in the NFL, not a right. The Bears supported Tank and he simply could not control himself. I'm sure he'll turn up somewhere else (Washington?), but the Bears were left with no choice.
Attorney General Gonzo was asked to investigate in January, but has done nothing. I guess he doesn't want to upset the Dark Lord.
In a somewhat related matter, the Post is running some in-depth stories about how Dick Vader, Darth Cheney, Shooter, or whatever you want to call the VP has basically carved out a unique niche and how he has largely set the President's public policies. Contrary to what the White House has claimed, "aggressive interrogation techniques" (i.e., torture), detainee rights, and the use of Gitmo were vigorously debated and in fact there was a lot of dissent within the administration about abandoning the Geneva Conventions, creating the legal black hole of Gitmo, and allowing torture techniques to be used.
Sunday, June 24, 2007
However, the Bears took that 2nd round pick and traded it to the Chargers for a later 2nd, 3rd, and 5th round picks. With those picks they drafted DE Dan Bazuin, RB Garrett Wolfe, and FS Kevin Payne. Bazuin is expected to be an impact player this year, Wolfe looks like he is gong to be a third down back, and Payne will likely be a special teamer and provide some depth at the safety position.
It may work out to be a great trade. However, ultimately, it is up to Benson to show that he can carry the load and become a 1200+ yard back. I believe he can, but the proof will come on the field.
Against Seattle, the Bears D had all kinds of trouble and the Bears were losing 24-21 in the 4th quarter at home in what could have ended as another disappointing playoff defeat. In the 4th quarter, Rex put together a drive going 3-5 for 24 yards, with another 24 yards coming via TJ and Benson. Gould kicked the game-tying 41 yard field goal.
In OT, after Seattle couldn't move the ball, on Chicago's first offensive series the Bears faced 3rd and 10 from their 34 yard line. Rex hit Rashied Davis for 30 yards. A couple of short runs later, Gould kicked the 49 yard game winning field goal.
Against New Orleans, the Bears D was again giving up yards - although they were getting turnovers. Rex did not have a good first half, but when it counted he delivered. In the second half, he went 8 for 14 for 128 yards. The Bears were only up 18-14 at the start of the fourth quarter. Rex went 4-4 for 78 yards and threw a 33 yard TD to Berrian in the 4th quarter. That made it 25-14 and the Bears scored two more late rushing TDs to put it away.
Very few NFL QBs have ever delivered like Rex in the playoffs to get to the Super Bowl. That is just a matter of fact.
Tommie Harris was quoted as saying that having McNabb would make the Bears Super Bowl champs. How many Super Bowls has McNabb won? Think of how many times he did not deliver in the NFC Championship Game.
To call Rex a "choker" is just completely false.
Friday, June 22, 2007
Second Year: 14 starts, 12 wins, 2 losses, 56.3% completion rate, 2598 yards passing, 18 TD, 15 interceptions, 76.8 passer rating - lost in the divisional playoffs after a bye
Third Year: 16 starts, 11 wins, 5 losses, 54% completion rate, 3891 yards passing, 22 TD, 23 interceptions, 70.2 passer rating - missed the playoffs
Thursday, June 21, 2007
Congress turns up at 25 percent in Newsweek's poll. However, a new Gallup Poll puts them at an all-time low of 14 percent.
I am not surprised. Economic conditions are worsening, and probably more important right now, Iraq is worsening. Congress had a chance to stand up to Bushie, but they joined with him by providing another $100 billion of funding. Stupid move that is costing them.
I believe that the majority of fans support Lovie Smith and have faith in the coaching staff. If he says Rex is the Man, then I believe most fans will go along with that.
I also do not believe that Brian Griese offers anything more than Rex, and certainly Rex has far more upside potential if he continues to improve as he gains experience.
Kyle Orton is a nice young player but is not an option over Rex or Brian.
That said, it seems very unlikely to me that the majority of fans want to dump Rex. That would mean that more than 50 percent of the Chicago Bears' fans would have to think Lovie is wrong and that Brian Griese (or Kyle Orton) are better options than Rex.
Apparently JKD and Deepie must believe the opposite.
As for Briggs, he was the only no show. This was expected. Now that he realizes that there is no one out there willing to trade for him and pay him the money he wants, he should reconsider his stand. But that is up to him.
There were articles in the Trib, Sun-Times, and Daily Herald that all say about the same things coming out of OTAs
Lovie says this is his best team ever - I believe it, and don't think is is normal coachspeak. The offense has new weapons. Mark Bradley has looked great (3rd year receiver, who came back last year from knee surgery after looking great in his rookie year); draft picks Greg Olsen and Garrett Wolf' performed as expected; and Devin Hester is making a smooth transition to offense. Hester was a college running back who moved to corner. He can line up in the backfield and out wide.
Another surprise player who may be able to contribute is Josh Allen. Allen played at Maryland, but tore up his knee three years ago and appears to be recovering nicely. We'll see if he can make the team and contribute.
On D, Briggs is out, but second year linebacker Jamar Williams has looked good by all accounts. Alex Brown lost his starting spot. Tommie Harris and Mike Brown are back, so things look good. Arch has apparently been playing pretty well. Charles Tillman is recovered from his nagging back injury. I expect the Bears will try to sign Tillman and/or Vasher to extensions in the summer, but they may want to test the market given the huge contracts that are out there. They may also see what has happened to Briggs and sign.
Finally, Rex has had a good couple of weeks. He is working hard to improve with his new QB coach. He has to improve his consistency and it looks like he is preparing himself to do so.
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
"Grossman played so many poor games last year that, a la Dilfer in 2000, I couldn't justify putting him in the top 20. Maybe he'll be better this year. I don't know. But I'll remind you of an old Parcellsism: I go by what I see. And what I saw of Grossman last year was, basically, a below-average NFL starting quarterback."
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
Maybe he'll have Tom Cruise host and Danny Boy will push the button to drop the crystal apple in Times Square. He'll probably put a sponsor's sign on the apple.
Monday, June 18, 2007
I am sure Rex will prove him wrong. For that matter, I expect Campbell to be better than a lot of guys ahead of him.
Saturday, June 16, 2007
Looks like Landry got hit with a paintball in the nuts. It will keep him out of minicamp. Hopefully it won't be a nagging injury and is not too serious. I also hope that it is not a bad sign of things to come for Redskin fans.
It is sad that the military is so broken and we have so few troops that Bushie has to hire a bunch of mercinaries to carry out his failing Iraq strategy.
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Congress is even worse! 23 percent.
Bushie is a known idiot, and Congress has bowed down to him and his idiotic Iraq war policy. When the Dems gave Bushie another $100 billion to play Commander-in-Chief for another year in Iraq, they threw away their credibility.
Imagine how weak they are . . . they bowed down and took it up the rear from a President that has a 30 percent approval rating. On top of that nearly 70 percent of Americans want to see an end to the war and the Dems were elected with a clear mandate to force change in Iraq. They are weak. Pelosi is OK for now. She has worked well with a large and diverse Democratic caucus. It is Reid who has to go.
Monday, June 11, 2007
I expect him to improve this year. Improvement will come in the form of fewer mistakes.
My final argument is that Rex shows great promise as a young player. He set the Bears team record for most 100+ passer rating games in a season with 7. That is a great number, no matter who you are.
As a comparison, here is how some of the top QBs fared on that statistic:
Peyton Manning - 7
Philip Rivers - 6
Tom Brady - 5
Drew Brees - 5
Carson Palmer - 4
Brett Favre - 4
Steve McNair - 3
Vince Young - 2
Jason Campbell - 0
Carson Palmer - 11
Peyton Manning - 10
Matt Hasselbeck - 7
Tom Brady -6
Drew Brees - 6
Trent Green - 5
Jake Plummer - 5
Mark Brunell - 4
If Rex can cut down on the turnovers, he could be something special.
Sunday, June 10, 2007
On 12/1: I was 16-7 (.696) , you were 12-9 (.571)
After the Super Bowl: I was 32-12 (.727), you were 24-18 (.571). Over the last 21 games, I was 16-5 (.762), you were 12-9 (.571).
So over the first 23 games (21 for you, because you missed 2 games), I was better than you, and over the last 21 games I was better than you by a larger margin.
You can go back and look it up - the numbers are what they are.
Saturday, June 09, 2007
Someone (who I will not name) tells me that he talked to a couple of ignorant fans, who do now actually know Rex's stats, and says that they all say Rex is terrible. He also reads some of the national press criticisms and then proclaims Rex to be terrible. He even says Brian Griese should be the QB. Never mind that Lovie, the front office, the entire coaching staff, and the Bears players all support and love Rex. Never mind that history is on his side.
At this point, I'm willing to just wait and see what happens this year. I firmly believe Rex will improve because he works hard, and NFL history is on his side. If he doesn't improve then I have confidence that Lovie will make the right move.
Friday, June 08, 2007
I came across this while I was surfing today. Pretty interesting.
Couple of the more intersting ones:
Rex - 29
JC - 14, 27, 28
Peyton - 25
Brady - 33
Brunell - 22
Vince - 6, 16
Top score is a 50.
Thursday, June 07, 2007
Age: 26, will be 27 this year.
Draft: 2003, 1st round, 22nd overall selection
Head Coaches: He was drafted by Dick Jauron, who was fired after Rex's rookie year. Lovie took over
Offensive Coordinators: John Shoop (2003), Terry Shea (2004), Ron Turner (2005-2006). They all have very different philosophies.
Injuries: 2004 tore knee ligaments in Week 3 (out for the season). 2005 broke his ankle in second preseason game and only started 2 games including the playoff loss to Carolina.
Career Starts: 27. 8 career starts before last year when he started every game.
Age: 25, will be 26 this year.
Draft: 2005, 1st round, 25th overall selection
Head Coach: He was drafted by Joe Gibbs, who is the only head coach he has known
Offensive Coordinators: Joe Gibbs (2005), Al Saunders (2006). Have very different philosophies.
Career Starts: 7
Basically, JC is where Rex was last year. The advantage JC has going into this year is that he has never had to overcome major, career threatening injuries. Rex has been a pro longer. But he had to deal with more coaching changes, the injuries, and very high expectations because he is playing for a winner.
I don't believe JC will throw as many TD passes as Rex did last year (23), nor do I think he will end up with as many interceptions (20). My guess is that he will end up with 18 TDs and 19 interceptions. I like JC and think he will be a good player, but realistically, he is still very young and is likely to make mistakes.
Rex is going to have to improve on his numbers, but with another year of experience, and being healthy for the first time in his professional career will help. Instead of rehabbing this off-season, he can focus on improving his footwork and fundamentals. That will result in a better, more consistent performance this year. My prediction: 25 TDs and 14 interceptions.
This has got to be one of the least successful occupations in all of history.
Wednesday, June 06, 2007
The guy has started a total of 27 games in his career. Among those 27 include 2 playoff wins and the Super Bowl. Not surprisingly he was inconsistent in his first full year as the starter. He did some good things and some bad things.
He set the Bears record for most games in a season with a QB rating over 100 with 7 games.
He was 7th in the NFL in TD passes (23).
He was 12th in the NFL in total passing yardage (3193).
He won 13 games.
Most important, he established himself as a leader and is loved by the coaches and players.
He was 3rd in the NFL with 20 interceptions.
He was 24th in the NFL in passer rating for the season last year (73.9).
He only had a 54.6% completion percentage (28th in the NFL).
He had 5 games with QB passer ratings of 37 or lower (including a 0.0)
I am not sure why folks are surprised that a young guy had some inconsistency. The fact that the Bears play in a major media market and are so good is why he faces so much scrutiny. Half of Chicago wanted to bench him late in the season - not that surprising because the expectations had risen so high given the Bears 13-3 record. Here is how I see it, the average fan does not understand football. and the realities of needing to be patient with inexperienced players. Rex's first season as the full time starter resulted in numbers similar to Peyton Manning's first season.
Peyton: 26 TDs, 28 Ints, 56.7% completion percentage, 71.2 passer rating
Rex: 23 TDs, 20 Ints, 54.6% completion percentage, 73.9 passer rating
Manning went 3-13 as a starter and had some horrible games. Rex was 13-3 and had the pressure of winning on his shoulders.
So in the off-season the Bears hired a new QB Coach who is working with Grossman on his fundamentals - footwork, progressions, decision-making. Here is a story from the Chicago Bears website about Grossman's off-season focus.
This blog entry says it all - "Rex Grossman's Critics are Idiots"
His team loves him. His coach loves him. If he doesn't cut down on his mistakes and does not show significant improvement, he will be letting his team down, and then there is something to talk about. But, he has performed about as well as one should expect.
Monday, June 04, 2007
He has been wrong on everything - those who think that Bushie knew what he was doing and that the "Surge" would actually work are just blindly following a proven idiot.
Sunday, June 03, 2007
Saturday, June 02, 2007
Friday, June 01, 2007
Let's make a little comparison to Kobe. LeBron makes his team better - he is not just a guy who scores his points. His teammates love him. If you look over the Cleveland roster and the Lakers roster, it would be hard to argue that LeBron's supporting cast is any better than the one in L.A. It is impossible to argue that Cleveland coach Mike Brown is better than Phil Jackson. Basically, LeBron has the leadership and the talent to win playoff games - Kobe has to still prove he can do it without Shaq-fu.