Intrade - 79 Percent!
President Obama's chances of re-election just keep going up. Romney's gaffes and the video of him being himself - a carefree rich guy who doesn't care about the common people hasn't helped his cause. However, just as bad for him is his choice of Paul Ryan as his running mate. He threw away any chance of winning in Florida, Pennsylvania and Iowa because of their larger numbers of older Americans who are concerned about Medicare.
It is clear that there isn't a good mesh between Romney and Ryan and they did not come to a resolution on how they would campaign together. Romney constantly has to answer questions about Ryan's budget plan - the fact that he did not think this through is shocking.