The Republican presidential ticket has been nothing short of a disaster since the RNC. Romney gave a lackluster speech and failed to even mention Afghanistan during the RNC. Ryan made up stuff that was clearly wrong and got hammered for it.
Over the weekend, their failure to thread through a consistent message became even more apparent. Romney came out and said he wants to keep many key elements of Obamacare. He and Ryan have been talking about repealing Obamacare for weeks, but now he is changing. Ryan had to try to explain why he supported a debt deal with President Obama. Romney called it a mistake, but Ryan defend himself and did not call it a mistake. There appears to be message inconsistencies that make it difficult to understand what the Republican ticket believes.
These inconsistencies, coming off of the great DNC, have led to big poll changes in favor of Obama-Biden. Obama now has a 5 point lead in the national polls. However, as I have pointed out before, it is not the national poll that really matters, it is the Electoral College map. There it still looks like an Obama landslide. The latest Intrade projections have it at a 59% chance that Obama will win.