Changing Poll Numbers
Intrade has moved in Romney's direction. The odds of President Obama's reelection are now at about 74 percent - down 5 points from a few days ago. It is still overwhelmingly against Romney, but we'll see if it continues to trend in his direction.
The latest poll in North Carolina has now shifted the state back into Romney's corner. It is still an Electoral College landslide for President Obama, but North Carolina switching does give some encouragement to Romney folks.
I cannot wait until the debate tomorrow night. I am so looking forward to seeing the discussion tomorrow. It is unlikely to change much, but I want to see how the two men perform on their feet with the nation watching.
posted by Rob @ 10/02/2012 01:13:00 PM
4 comments
4 Comments:
The President was soundly beaten in the debate. MAL media outlets such as CNN and MSNBC are panicking. Chris Matthews was unglued last night. The tide is turning in Romney's favor and if the other debates turn out as badly for Obama, the President will be in real trouble.
Dennis
"A 1/32 Cherokee Tea Party guy having fun"
I just posted on what I thought about last night. I would agree that Romney won hands down. But I also do not think it will make that big of a difference.
If someone asked me who won I would say Romney easily. If someone asked me who I am voting for I would still say the President. I suspect there are quite a few people like me.
I think you're doing some wishful thinking here. Sure, there are some people who will vote for Obama under any circumstances, but there are also enough people to impact the election who look at the issues and the candidates' positions and make their
decision accordingly. I don't think the MAL talking heads would have gone into panic mode if they thought the debates didn't matter.
Dennis
"A 1/32 Cherokee Tea Party guy having fun"
I really don't worry about what the "talking heads" on either side say. Quite honestly, the media wants it to be a close race because then ratings will go up.
The stats and poll numbers don't reflect anything other than an Obama landslide. The reason is the candidates' positions. Romney is on the wrong side of the auto bailout issue in the rust belt states like Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. He is on the wrong side of the health care debate with his endorsement of vouchers in Penn and Florida. He is struggling to get traction with goverment workers, minorities and women which kills him in densely populated Northern Virginia (which largely drives what happens in the state). Add to that his whole 47% discussion and his constant flip flopping - the latest being his complete 180 on the major tax cut plan that he has been proposing for months. Nothing has changed.
That isn't wishful thinking - it is reality. His performance last night just prevented him from being knocked out. If the poll numbers dramatically change in about 3 days I may think otherwise. But in the absence of empirical evidence, there is nothing to make me think there has been any real shift.
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