Monday, October 22, 2012

Debate #3: Pre-game Thoughts and the State of the Race

Nothing has really changed in terms of the outcome that I can see. No question the polls are tighter - but that isn't really surprising. It was going to tighten anyway - as elections tend to do. Looking at the Intrade and prediction markets, President Obama has a better than 60 percent chance to be re-elected. Unless something dramatic happens, there isn't much reason to believe he won't be re-elected. I am very curious about the Gallup poll today. Gallup's national poll is a 7-day tracking poll and it has been running at about +6% for Romney, but today's poll will be the first one that has a clear majority of individuals polled after last week's debate. I expect that it will come back in line with the 3-day tracking polls that show a much closer race.

The third debate is tonight. It focuses on foreign policy. I'm not sure how it really helps Romney to debate foreign policy. I doubt voters really care about foreign policy issues in this election. I am still perplexed by Romney's Benghazi attack. Aside from the fact that most Americans have no ideas what it is (sad to say), Romney's politicization of it doesn't seem to make much sense. Why he thinks there is some kind of cover-up is beyond me.

The key for tonight is to look sober, serious, firm, and presidential. Attacking won't really convince swing voters to come around because they won't really know or care about the facts and they may be turned off by overly-aggressive attacking.

As for me, I have to evaluate basketball players for my youth basketball team until 9:00 and then the Bears are on Monday Night Football, so I will likely miss much of the debate.

2 Comments:

At 9:57 AM, Anonymous Dennis said...

I have some comments regarding your post:

"Unless something dramatic happens, there isn't much reason to believe he won't be re-elected."

BENGHAZI is indeed that dramatic event. Why hasn't BHO held a news conference to answer questions regarding the attack?

"The third debate is tonight. It focuses on foreign policy. I'm not sure how it really helps Romney to debate foreign policy. I doubt voters really care about foreign policy issues in this election."

The voters DO care about foreign policy. Romney clearly won the thrid debate (as well as the other two). The PEOPLE are wondering why BHO won't answer questions on BENGHAZI.

"I am still perplexed by Romney's Benghazi attack. Aside from the fact that most Americans have no ideas what it is (sad to say), Romney's politicization of it doesn't seem to make much sense. Why he thinks there is some kind of cover-up is beyond me."

No professor, it was AL QAEDA's Bengahzi attack, not Romney's. Most Americans DO know what happened at BENGHAZI in spite of the major media outlets' attempts to bury the story. It is BHO who is politicizing Benghazi, not Romney. Romney is just calling for answers from the Administration, as the American people are. And there has obviously been a cover up of BENGHAZI by the Administration.

Dennis
"A 1/32 Cherokee Tea Party guy having fun"

"If four Americans get killed, it’s not optimal." -Barack Obama on COMEDY CENTRAL with Jon Stewart.

 
At 1:24 PM, Blogger Rob said...

What is there to cover up? Please explain it to me. The CIA initially thought that the region-wide protests about the Muhammed film had spread to Libya. With more info and time, they recognized that wasn't the case. We are now hunting down those who committed the terrorist attack.

What more is there?

If there was anything more, Romney might actually bother to talk about it, but there isn't anything to discuss.

 

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